Cart  |  Login / Register
Email  |  Live Help  |  +1.610.235.5299 Expand

Overview

The 2016 Economic Outlook Conference, hosted by Moody's Analytics, will discuss challenges, best practices and new approaches for responding to an evolving marketplace with confidence. Join Mark Zandi and top economists from Moody's Analytics as we cover today's most critical business issues, including wage growth, stress-testing, validation, inflation, used-car prices, household credit, the global outlook, oil prices, systemic risk, and pre-provision net revenue modeling.

  • What are the keys to the U.S. economy’s continued expansion?
  • How will labor utilization and full employment affect the labor market and wage growth?
  • What are the near-term challenges facing the global economy?
  • How will income and balance sheet trends affect the housing market?
  • Will economics affect the 2016 presidential election?
  • What are the policy options if the Fed pushes interest rates back to zero?
  • How are business cycles aging?

Dr. Mark Zandi, Chief Economist Moody's Analytics
Mark Zandi is chief economist of Moody's Analytics, where he directs research and consulting. Moody's Analytics, a subsidiary of Moody's Corp., is a leading provider of economic research, data and analytical tools. A trusted adviser to policymakers and an influential source of economic analysis for businesses, journalists and the public, Mark has frequently testified before Congress on topics including the economic outlook, the merits of fiscal stimulus, financial regulatory reform, and foreclosure mitigation. Mark received his PhD at the University of Pennsylvania, where he did his research with Gerard Adams and Nobel laureate Lawrence Klein, and received his BS from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania.

Jeremy Nowak, President J Nowak Associates
Jeremy Nowak is president of J Nowak Associates, a consulting firm that specializes in social investment, public policy and strategic planning. Current clients include The Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation, The MacArthur Foundation, The California Endowment, and the Berwind Office of the Trustees. Mr. Nowak is also the current Board chair and a columnist for a new media startup in Philadelphia: The Philadelphia Citizen.

Currently he is a nonresident senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and a nonresident scholar at the University of Pennsylvania’s Institute for Urban Research. In 2012 and 2013 he was appointed to chair the Board of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. His tenure at the Fed ran from 2008 through 2013.


Why Attend?

  • Gain economic and industry insights from your peers and experts within the industry.
  • Participate in the dialogue on the evolving economic outlook and credit risk management.
  • Network with 150+ professionals.
  • Explore Moody’s Analytics solutions with our product experts.
  • Get an exclusive preview of Moody’s Analytics future solutions.

2016 at the Hyatt at The Bellevue

Dear Client:

Please join us Monday, May 2 from 6 to 8 p.m. for a welcome reception. The conference will begin on the morning of Tuesday, May 3 with a presentation of the outlook for the U.S. economy, to be followed throughout the day by presentations focusing on U.S. and global economic issues and risks, with a particular focus on the labor market, consumer spending, housing, the global outlook, commodities, household credit, monetary policy, and the 2016 election. On Wednesday, the conference will include presentations on global modeling, business cycles and financial systems. The final two sessions will feature our regional outlook and roundtable. The roundtable will be an open forum for the audience to discuss with our panel of regional experts the key strengths and risks of the larger metropolitan areas around the country.

We are pleased to have Jeremy Nowak join us as a guest speaker for the conference. Jeremy is president of J Nowak Associates, a consulting firm that specializes in social investment, public policy and strategic planning. Jeremy will present his American city outlook and what cities will need to do to sustain growth.

Product demonstrations will be ongoing throughout the conference.

Dress is casual, so please dress comfortably; you may leave your business attire behind.

You are also invited to join us at our cocktail hour (casual dress) on Tuesday evening in the State Drawing Room of the Hyatt at the Bellevue. All are welcome to attend.

The registration form and hotel and transportation information are available. I look forward to seeing you at our Economic Outlook Conference!

Sincerely,

Mark Zandi (Signature)

Mark Zandi
Chief Economist

Tuesday, May 3, 2016

8:00 a.m. – 8:45 a.m.
Registration and Continental Breakfast

8:45 a.m. – 9:00 a.m.
Welcome
Paul Getman

9:00 a.m. – 10:45 a.m.
Economic Outlook
Mark Zandi
Despite the global economic storms, the U.S. economy should power forward. The economy is fast approaching full employment, a significant achievement after almost a decade of high unemployment. This should prompt stronger wage growth and more household formation, both keys to the economy’s continued expansion. While recession any time soon seems unlikely, there are near-term threats, including China’s travails, various geopolitical hotspots, and the Federal Reserve’s efforts to normalize monetary policy. The presidential election may create additional uncertainty. Persistently moribund productivity growth may be a longer-term problem.

10:45 a.m. – 11:00 a.m.
Coffee Break

CONCURRENT SESSIONS
11:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.

Session I – Labor – Are We There Yet?
Sophia Koropeckyj
The labor market has tightened over the past year and is expected to reach full employment later this year. Yet wage growth, though edging higher in recent quarters, has remained frustratingly low and labor underutilization is still a concern. This session will examine labor utilization and full employment and their implications for the labor market and wage growth.

Session II – Global – Getting Its Groove Back
Ruth Stroppiana and Petr Zemcik
The global economy shed momentum in 2015 as emerging market economies struggled with adverse capital flows and the slowdown in China. The global economic environment is expected to be more upbeat in 2016, with a stronger U.S. economy and improving global demand providing a tailwind for export-oriented developing economies. Global growth is expected to gradually accelerate through 2016 and find its stride by 2017. However, uncertainty in financial markets and China’s slowdown restrain our optimism in the near term. In this session we analyze the growth prospects for the major regions and countries in 2016 and explore the key near-term challenges facing the global economy.

12:00 p.m. – 1:00 p.m.
Lunch Mezzanine

CONCURRENT SESSIONS
1:00 p.m. – 2:00 p.m.

Session III – Households and Long-Term Housing Demand
Andres Carbacho-Burgos and Adam Ozimek

Changes in the age distribution of households, as well as in the distribution of wealth and income by age group, will be key determinants of housing demand in the coming decade. This session will explain first our outlook for coming household formation and the change in the distribution of households by age group. Second, we will discuss recent income and balance sheet trends for households by age group and ownership status and how such trends will affect the housing market in coming years. Projected changes in the age distribution of households and the wealth distribution among them will make the recovery in the share of homeownership more gradual than in previous decades.

Session IV – The Oil Rebalancing Act
Chris Lafakis and Anamaria Pieschacon
Oil prices (and commodities in general) have experienced a remarkable decline in the last eighteen months as a consequence of several forces. The confluence of seemingly unstoppable growth of U.S. shale oil, the reaction of all the other producers, the response of other players, with the backdrop of a strong dollar, has sent the oil market on an unexpected rollercoaster ride. We will discuss fundamentals and financial factors in detail before presenting our outlook for oil supply, demand and prices.

CONCURRENT SESSIONS
2:00 p.m. – 3:00 p.m.

Session V – It Is the Economy, Stupid!
Michael Brisson and Dan White
Politics drive national elections, but history has also taught us that economics are a big factor as well, especially when looking at the marginal voter. This makes economics particularly important in today’s hyper-partisan political environment when marginal voters in a handful of swing states hold so much sway over the outcomes of presidential elections. The Moody’s Analytics Presidential Election Model uses state-level economic forecasts to project the outcome of the 2016 presidential election, a contest that is shaping up to be one of the closest in modern history.

Session VI – Consumer Spending/Wealth Effect – Shifting Wealth Effects
Scott Hoyt and Brian Poi
As consumer spending continues to lead economic growth, drivers of spending are shifting rapidly. Energy prices are no longer falling, but wage growth has begun to accelerate. Rising wealth remains an important potential driver of consumer spending but, unlike the situation a decade ago, stock wealth appears to be much more important to spending than housing wealth. This session will discuss these changing drivers with an emphasis on our research into wealth effects.

3:00 p.m. – 3:15 p.m.
Coffee Break

CONCURRENT SESSIONS
3:15 p.m. – 4:15 p.m.

Session VII – Topsy-Turvy World of Monetary Policy
Tony Hughes and Ryan Sweet
With the Federal Reserve following through with its plan to begin normalizing interest rates in late 2015, the central bank has put to bed its zero interest rate policy and adopted a low interest rate policy. This session will discuss a number of key questions facing the Fed, including where this rate cycle ends, when the balance sheet should be allowed to decline, and what the implications are for long-term interest rates and bank deposits. We will also discuss the policy options if the economy sputters and the Fed is forced to push interest rates back to zero.

Session VIII – Household Credit – As the Credit Box Opens
Cris deRitis and Janet Lee
With consumer credit quality expected to remain strong and stable over the short term, this session will consider the broader question of the level of consumer debt that is not only supportive of economic growth but also sustainable in the long run.

4:15 p.m. – 5:15 p.m.
The American City Outlook: Growth, Legacy Costs and Poverty
Guest Speaker – Jeremy Nowak
A good number of American cities have shown remarkable vitality during the past two decades, including some cities that were perennial population losers. But to sustain growth, cities have a remarkable number of issues to manage including persistently high poverty rates, unfunded pension liabilities, and old infrastructure. What are the prospects and solutions? Which cities are facing their problems and which cities are kicking the can down the road? And what might this mean over the long term for investors and citizens alike?

5:30 p.m. – 6:30 p.m.
Reception – All conference attendees are invited for wine, beer and hors d’oeuvres. State Drawing Room

Wednesday May 4, 2016

8:30 a.m. – 9:00 a.m.
Registration and Continental Breakfast

CONCURRENT SESSIONS
9:00 a.m. – 10:00 a.m.

Session IX – What Would the Next Crisis Look Like?
Juan M. Licari
The purpose of this session is to explore alternative shapes for a potential future economic crisis. We will analyze today's main sources of risk and draw on hypothetical downside scenarios that could be triggered by these shocks. To provide context for some of these risks, we will look into some relevant past crises, their origins and propagation channels.

Session X – When Expansions Get Long in the Tooth
Adam Kamins and Ryan Sweet
The U.S. expansion is already longer than the average since World War II, but expansions don’t die of old age. This expansion has been anything but normal, so focusing on when the expansion will end can cause some to overlook how the economy changes as the expansion matures. This session will look at where the U.S. and regional economies are in the business cycle, how they are aging, whether this expansion is different than in the past, and what the implications are for the near-term forecast.

CONCURRENT SESSIONS
10:00 a.m. – 11:00 a.m.

Session XI – Global Modeling
Mark Hopkins and Anna Zabrodzka
Post-crisis risk-management strategies have increased client demand for customized global scenario forecasts. This session will explain how the Moody’s Analytics global forecasting methodology accommodates these demands, with focus on the horizontal inter-country linkages across countries and the vertical linkages embedded in new subnational models that are able to produce highly detailed scenario forecasts for specific regions within many of those countries.

Session XII – Credit Risk Cascades: Regulatory Applications and Beyond
Sam Malone
Measuring spillovers among financial firms and between the financial sector and the rest of the macroeconomy requires models fit-for-purpose. This talk introduces a methodology for forecasting credit risk under compound scenarios, composed of macroeconomic, counterparty and systemic risk elements. The model is illustrated via case studies, in which probability of default forecasts under alternative Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review scenarios are modified in response to the default of a small set of counterparties in a way that allows credit risk shocks to propagate more strongly when bank interconnectedness is high.

11:00 a.m. – 11:15 a.m.
Coffee Break

11:15 a.m. – 12:30 p.m.
Regional Outlook
Steven G. Cochrane
The end of the energy and commodity cycle is reshaping the pattern of regional economic performance while demand for housing and services boosts many metro areas. Current conditions and the regional outlook will illustrate the expected leaders and laggards.

12:30 p.m. – 1:15 p.m.
Lunch Mezzanine

1:15 p.m. – 3:00 p.m.
Regional Roundtable Discussion
This session will be an open discussion with a panel of our regional experts. No PowerPoints. No formal presentations. Just an extended period of conversation between our panel and the audience, and perhaps among the audience, to make sure all of your concerns regarding the U.S. regional economies are addressed.

Speakers

Paul Getman, Executive Director

Paul Getman is executive director of Moody’s Analytics. Paul oversees the company’s business affairs and strategic planning. With more than 20 years of experience in consulting and research on economic issues, Paul has testified before government agencies and regularly gives speeches on the U.S. outlook for industry and trade groups, nonprofit organizations, and senior corporate management.

Paul has an MA in economics and has completed all but the dissertation requirements of a PhD from the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School.

Mark Zandi, Chief Economist

Mark M. Zandi is chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, where he directs economic research. Moody’s Analytics, a subsidiary of Moody’s Corp., is a leading provider of economic research, data and analytical tools. Dr. Zandi is a cofounder of the company Economy.com, which Moody’s purchased in 2005.

Dr. Zandi’s broad research interests encompass macroeconomics, financial markets and public policy. His recent research has focused on mortgage finance reform and the determinants of mortgage foreclosure and personal bankruptcy. He has analyzed the economic impact of various tax and government spending policies and assessed the appropriate monetary policy response to bubbles in asset markets.

A trusted adviser to policymakers and an influential source of economic analysis for businesses, journalists and the public, Dr. Zandi frequently testifies before Congress on topics including the economic outlook, the nation’s daunting fiscal challenges, the merits of fiscal stimulus, financial regulatory reform, and foreclosure mitigation.

Dr. Zandi conducts regular briefings on the economy for corporate boards, trade associations and policymakers at all levels. He is on the board of directors of MGIC, the nation’s largest private mortgage insurance company, and The Reinvestment Fund, a large CDFI that makes investments in disadvantaged neighborhoods. He is often quoted in national and global publications and interviewed by major news media outlets, and is a frequent guest on CNBC, NPR, Meet the Press, CNN, and various other national networks and news programs.

Dr. Zandi is the author of Paying the Price: Ending the Great Recession and Beginning a New American Century, which provides an assessment of the monetary and fiscal policy response to the Great Recession. His other book, Financial Shock: A 360º Look at the Subprime Mortgage Implosion, and How to Avoid the Next Financial Crisis, is described by the New York Times as the “clearest guide” to the financial crisis.

Dr. Zandi earned his BS from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania and his PhD at the University of Pennsylvania. He lives with his wife and three children in the suburbs of Philadelphia.

Michael Brisson

Michael Brisson is an economist at Moody’s Analytics. He develops state and local revenue forecasts on various consulting projects and is a frequent contributor on energy-related issues. Mike holds a PhD in Applied Economics from Northeastern University, an MS in Economics from the University of Buffalo, and a BA in Political Science from the State University of New York at Oswego.

Andres Carbacho-Burgos

Andres Carbacho-Burgos is a senior economist with Moody’s Analytics. He covers housing and state and regional economies, and writes frequently about inflation for Precis Macro from the company's West Chester PA office. Before joining Moody’s Analytics, he taught economics at Texas State University, where he also researched open-economy macroeconomics and income inequality. He obtained his PhD and master's degrees in economics from the University of Massachusetts at Amherst and his bachelor’s degree in economics from Carleton College.

Steven Cochrane

Steven G. Cochrane is managing director of Moody’s Analytics, where he directs the research and development activities of the research staff. Steve’s research specialty is regional economics and he manages the U.S. regional forecasting service. Steve also edits the Regional Financial Review, the firm’s monthly publication that analyzes U.S. macro, regional, industry and international trends. Steve has been an analyst with Moody’s Analytics since 1993. He earned a PhD in regional science at the University of Pennsylvania and is a Penn Institute for Urban Research Scholar. Steve earned a master's degree at the University of Colorado at Denver, and a bachelor's degree at the University of California at Davis.

Cristian deRitis

Cristian deRitis is a director at Moody's Analytics. He performs consumer credit modeling and analysis with the Credit Analytics group and contributes to the analysis for CreditForecast.com. Before joining the Moody's Analytics West Chester PA operation, Cris worked for Fannie Mae and taught at Johns Hopkins University in Washington DC. He received a PhD and MA in economics from Johns Hopkins University and graduated summa cum laude from Michigan State University with a bachelor's degree in economics.

Mark Hopkins

Mark Hopkins is a senior economist at Moody’s Analytics. His responsibilities include macroeconomic research, international forecasting, and U.S. federal fiscal policy. Dr. Hopkins contributes to the Moody’s Analytics U.S. macroeconomic model and is responsible for forecasting Canada’s economy. Previously, Mark taught macroeconomics at Gettysburg College and served as international economist on the staff of the President’s Council of Economic Advisers. He has published articles and chapters related to international economics, economic growth and foreign policy. He received his PhD in economics from the University of Wisconsin-Madison, an MSc from the London School of Economics, and a BA from Wesleyan University.

Scott Hoyt

Scott Hoyt is senior director of consumer economics for Moody's Analytics. He is responsible for the firm’s consumer forecasts and analysis, assists in the production of its U.S. economic forecast, and is a regular contributor to the Economy.com web site and a regular speaker at our client conferences. He is a lead analyst for CreditForecast.com

Before joining Moody’s Analytics, Dr. Hoyt spent five years as an economist for J.C. Penney, where he did extensive work in the company's credit department. He received his PhD and MA in economics from the University of Pennsylvania and his BA summa cum laude from Bates College.

Anthony Hughes

Tony Hughes is a managing director in the Economic & Consumer Credit group at Moody’s Analytics. He is the head of a small group of high-caliber modelers, charged with identifying new business opportunities for the company. Prior to this appointment, he led the Consumer Credit Analytics team for eight years from its inception in 2007. His first role after joining the company in 2003 was as lead economist and head of the Sydney office of the company Moody’s Economy.com.

Dr. Hughes helped develop a number of Moody’s Analytics products. He proposed the methodology behind CreditCycle and CreditForecast 4.0, developed the pilot version of the Stressed EDF module for CreditEdge, and initiated the construction of the Default, Prepayment and Loss Curves product, which provides forecasts and stress scenarios of collateral performance for asset-backed securities and residential mortgage-backed securities deals worldwide. More recently, he championed the development of the Pre-Provision Net Revenue Factors Library, a tool that provides industry-level projections of key bank balance sheet line items. In the credit field, Dr. Hughes’ research has covered all forms of retail lending, large corporate loans, commercial real estate, peer-to-peer, structured finance, and the full range of PPNR elements. He has conducted innovative research in deposit modeling and in the construction of macroeconomic scenarios for use in stress-testing.

Dr. Hughes has managed a wide variety of large projects for major banks and other lending institutions. In addition, he has published widely in industry publications such as American Banker, Nikkei, GARP, and the Journal of Structured Finance as well as four papers in peer-reviewed academic journals. He obtained his PhD in econometrics from Monash University in Australia in 1997.

Adam Kamins

Adam Kamins is a senior economist at Moody’s Analytics. He manages the firm’s U.S. subnational forecasting service, overseeing the generation of all state and metro area baseline figures while working closely with clients on customized scenarios. In addition, Adam covers a wide variety of topics related to regional economics and serves as the firm’s primary expert on the New York and Northeast economies. Other responsibilities include developing and maintaining a variety of specialized models, including the Moody’s Analytics commercial real estate forecasts and client-specific databases.

Adam’s work has been featured by such outlets as CBS, NBC, CNBC, Fox, the Houston Chronicle, and the New York Post, among others. He has also been cited frequently by Crain’s New York Business on a wide variety of issues. Adam regularly presents to a diverse group of audiences on the national and regional economic outlook, as well as specific areas of interest including affordable housing, single-family rental homes, the impact of low oil prices, and regional convergence.

Prior to joining Moody’s Analytics, Adam was a research manager at the Initiative for a Competitive Inner City, where he analyzed urban economies across the U.S. He holds a master’s degree in business administration from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and a bachelor’s degree in quantitative economics from Tufts University.

Sophia Koropeckyj

Sophia Koropeckyj is a managing director for Moody’s Analytics. Sophia oversees the firm's publications and consulting projects, edits many of the publications, trains new staff members, and gives presentations to clients and trade groups. She covers labor markets, auto-related industries, and the midwestern economy. Based in West Chester PA, Sophia has been with Moody’s Analytics since 1994. Previously, she worked as an economist for the Great Lakes Trade Adjustment Assistance Center and WEFA. Sophia has completed all but the dissertation portion of her doctoral studies in economics at the University of Michigan. She earned a master’s degree in finance at Drexel University and a bachelor’s degree in economics and history at the University of Pennsylvania.

Chris Lafakis

Chris Lafakis is a senior economist at Moody's Analytics. His expertise is in model development, model validation, macroeconomics and energy economics. Based in West Chester PA, he also covers the California economy and contributes to the Economy.com web site. Chris has been quoted by media outlets, including CNBC and The Wall Street Journal, and often speaks at economic conferences and events. He received his bachelor's degree in economics from the Georgia Institute of Technology and his master's degree in economics from the University of Alabama.

Janet Lee

Janet Lee is a senior economist in the Credit Analytics group at Moody’s Analytics, where she has developed credit-risk and stress-testing models for various financial institutions, including a major commercial bank and auto finance company. Janet graduated from the University of Chicago and did her PhD studies in economics at the University of Pennsylvania. She is a CFA charterholder and has previously worked at Prudential Financial and the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

Samuel Malone

Samuel W. Malone is Director of Economic Research at Moody's Analytics. Dr. Malone has taught and consulted at top institutions in Europe and South America, including Oxford, the University of Navarra, and the Central Banks of Venezuela and Peru. He is coauthor of the book Macrofinancial Risk Analysis, published in the Wiley Finance series with coauthor Dale Gray of the International Monetary Fund, as well as the author of multiple academic journal articles in economics and applied math published in outlets such as the Journal of Applied Econometrics, the International Journal of Forecasting, and the Annual Review of Financial Economics. He holds undergraduate degrees in mathematics and economics from Duke University, where he studied as an A.B. Duke scholar and graduated with summa cum laude Latin honors, and MPhil and doctoral degrees in economics from the University of Oxford, where he studied as a Rhodes Scholar. He retains an appointment as Adjunct Professor of Finance at the University of the Andes School of Management in Bogotá, Colombia.

Jeremy Nowak, J Nowak Associates

Jeremy Nowak is president of J Nowak Associates, a consulting firm that specializes in social investment, public policy and strategic planning. Current clients include The Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation, The MacArthur Foundation, The California Endowment, and the Berwind Office of the Trustees. Mr. Nowak is also the current Board chair and a columnist for a new media startup in Philadelphia: The Philadelphia Citizen. 

He was the President of the William Penn Foundation in 2011 and 2012 during which he helped develop the blueprint for its current grant-making. Mr. Nowak was the founding CEO of The Reinvestment Fund (TRF), a community development financial institution that provided more than $1 billion in support of housing, small businesses and community facilities during his tenure. He also launched a real estate development company, a public policy consulting arm, and a spatial analytics firm (policymap.com) from the TRF platform. 

Currently he is a nonresident senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and a nonresident scholar at the University of Pennsylvania’s Institute for Urban Research. In 2012 and 2013 he was appointed to chair the Board of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. His tenure at the Fed ran from 2008 through 2013.  

Active in Philadelphia’s civic life, he was the founding Board Chair of Mastery Charter Schools, a network of 16 inner-city schools that has received national attention for student achievement. He was the founding Board Chair of Alex’s Lemonade Stand, a charity that has raised more than $100 million in support of pediatric cancer research. In 1995, Mr. Nowak received the Philadelphia Award, the city’s highest civic honor. Both Villanova University (2000) and La Salle University (2008) have awarded him honorary doctorates in recognition of his civic achievements.

Jeremy was a fellow at the Aspen Institute’s Entrepreneurial Educators program in 2007. The Opportunity Finance Network presented him with the Ned Gramlich award for his work in responsible finance in 2011. He has testified in Congress in support of the Treasury Department’s CDFI Fund; in support of the National Endowment for the Arts; and in support of the Obama Administration’s healthy food initiative. In 2012 he co-chaired the meeting of the National Arts Policy Roundtable at the Sundance Institute. 

He has authored numerous articles and chapters in books on subjects as diverse as development finance, urban place making, and housing policy. He holds a BA degree in Philosophy from The Pennsylvania State University (1973) and a PhD in cultural anthropology from the New School for Social Research (1986), where his dissertation won the Alfred Schutz award.

Adam Ozimek

Adam Ozimek is an assistant director and economist in the West Chester office of Moody’s Analytics. Adam covers state and regional economies, as well U.S. labor markets and demographics. Prior to joining Moody’s Analytics, Adam was Senior Economist and Director of Research for Econsult Solutions, an economics consulting company. He received his PhD in economics from Temple University and his bachelor’s degree in economics from West Chester University.

Anamaria Pieschacon

Anamaria Pieschacon is a senior economist at Moody’s Analytics and a member of the Credit Analytics group. Anamaria develops and stress-tests credit models in various consultative projects. Before joining Moody’s Analytics, Anamaria was a vice president in Commodities Research at Goldman Sachs in New York, where she primarily analyzed oil markets. Prior to that, she was a faculty member at Stanford University and the Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University. Anamaria holds a PhD in Economics from Duke University, and an MA and BS in Economics from Universidad de los Andes, Colombia.

Brian Poi

Brian Poi is a director of Consumer Credit Analytics at Moody’s Analytics in West Chester PA, where he develops a variety of credit loss, credit origination and deposit account models for use in both strategic planning and CCAR/DFAST environments. He is equally adept at developing primary models as well as playing the role of validator for models developed elsewhere. Dr. Poi also provides thought leadership and guidance on the use of advanced statistical and econometric methods in economic forecasting applications. Before joining Moody’s Analytics, Dr. Poi was an econometric developer and director of professional services at StataCorp LP, a leading provider of statistical analysis software. He received his PhD and MA in economics from the University of Michigan after graduating magna cum laude from Indiana University.

Ruth Stroppiana

Ruth Stroppiana is chief international economist at Moody's Analytics. Based in Sydney, Dr. Stroppiana is responsible for global macroeconomic research on the Economy.com web site. Dr. Stroppiana also oversees the global forecasting service, including non-U.S. alternative scenarios. Dr. Stroppiana writes on a variety of issues for the Economy.com web site and the Regional Financial Review. She formerly directed EMEA economics in the Moody's Analytics London office and has extensive experience in analyzing countries in the Asia-Pacific region and Europe and in international economic consulting. She speaks regularly at Moody’s Analytics client conferences and has been quoted in a variety of regional and global publications and interviewed by major news media outlets. Dr. Stroppiana received her PhD in economics from the University of Queensland, Australia.

Ryan Sweet

Ryan Sweet is director of real-time economics at Moody's Analytics. He is also editor-in-chief of the Economy.com web site, to which he regularly contributes, and a member of the U.S. macroeconomics team in West Chester PA. His areas of specialization include U.S. monetary policy and forecasting high-frequency economic indicators. He is also an adjunct professor in the Economics and Finance Department at West Chester University of Pennsylvania. He received his master's degree in economics from the University of Delaware and his bachelor's degree in economics from Washington College.

Dan White

Dan White is a senior economist at Moody’s Analytics in West Chester PA, where he coordinates consulting and regional economic research.

Dan’s broad research interests include macroeconomics, energy economics, regional economic development, and public policy. His recent research has focused on public policy responses to the Great Recession and ways to better prepare federal and subnational fiscal conditions for changes in the business cycle. He also has the pleasure of working directly with a number of governments in a consulting role.

Dan regularly presents to clients, conferences, and policymakers of all levels. He has been featured in a number of print, radio, and televised media outlets ranging from the Wall Street Journal to National Public Radio.

Before joining Moody’s Analytics, Dan worked as a financial economist for the New Mexico State Legislative Finance Committee in Santa Fe, where he forecast revenues and analyzed a wide range of policy issues concentrated around economic development, public investment, and debt management. Dan holds an MA in economics as well as undergraduate degrees in finance and international business from New Mexico State University.

Anna Zabrodzka, Moody's Analytics

Anna Zabrodzka is an economist at the Moody's Analytics Prague office. Her responsibilities include providing commentary and research on key economies in Central and Eastern Europe. Before joining Moody's Analytics, Anna worked as a trainee for the European Central Bank, focusing on the analysis of monetary policy operations and euro money markets. Anna holds a master's degree in quantitative economics from Goethe University in Frankfurt am Main and a BSc in economics and finance from Queen Mary University of London.

Petr Zemcik

Petr Zemcik is director of economic research at the Moody’s Analytics London office. He is responsible for analysis, modeling and forecasting for Europe. Dr. Zemcik also supervises the real-time coverage of Europe for the Economy.com web site. He previously worked at CERGE-EI, a joint workplace of the Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education of Charles University in Prague and the Economics Institute of the Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, and at Southern Illinois University in Carbondale. He has published numerous articles on econometric methodology and on real estate bubbles in the U.S. and in Europe in peer-reviewed professional journals. He holds a PhD and MA in economics from the University of Pittsburgh and MSc in econometrics and operations research from the University of Economics in Prague.

Conference Location

The conference is held at the Hyatt at The Bellevue in Center City Philadelphia. Attendees who are coming by air will fly in to Philadelphia International Airport.

Hyatt at The Bellevue
200 South Broad Street
Philadelphia PA 19102
Telephone: 215.893.1234
Fax: 215.982.4833

Directions to the Hyatt at The Bellevue:

FROM POINTS NORTH VIA I-95 SOUTH: Follow I-95 South to Central Philadelphia and take Exit 22 to 676 West. Follow 676 West for approximately one mile to the Broad Street exit. This will automatically put you onto 15th Street, heading south. Go 10 lights to Locust Street and turn left. Go one block to Broad Street, turn left and proceed immediately into the center lane. Make a left into the garage for self-parking or into Chancellor Court for valet parking and unloading luggage or passengers.

FROM POINTS NORTH VIA NEW JERSEY TURNPIKE (NEW YORK AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY): Follow the New Jersey Turnpike to Exit 4, Route 73 North. Route 73 North (1.4 miles) will take you to Route 38 West (5.8 miles), which will lead you to Route 30 West. Follow Route 30 West (2.5 miles) to the Benjamin Franklin Bridge. After the bridge, stay to your left and follow the signs for 8th Street, Chinatown. At 8th Street, turn left and proceed for seven blocks to Walnut Street. Make a right onto Walnut Street, go six blocks to Broad Street, and turn left. Proceed immediately into the right-hand lane for the hotel entrance. You may enter the garage for self-parking or Chancellor Court for valet parking and unloading of luggage or passengers.

FROM PHILADELPHIA AIRPORT AND POINTS SOUTH VIA I-95: Follow I-95 North to Exit 17, Broad Street / Route 611. Travel 2.5 miles north on Broad Street, and the hotel will be on your left-hand side, between Locust and Walnut Streets. Enter the center lane to make a left into either the parking facility for self-parking or Chancellor Court for valet parking and unloading luggage or passengers.

FROM POINTS EAST VIA THE WALT WHITMAN BRIDGE AND ATLANTIC CITY EXPRESSWAY: Follow the Atlantic City Expressway to Route 42 North to the Walt Whitman Bridge. Cross the bridge and take the Broad Street exit. Follow Broad Street approximately 2 miles north to Locust Street. Just as you pass Locust Street proceed immediately into the center lane. From the center lane make a left into the garage entrance for self-parking or into Chancellor Court for valet parking and unloading luggage or passengers.

FROM POINTS WEST VIA THE PENNSYLVANIA TURNPIKE AND NORTHEAST EXTENSION: Follow the PA Turnpike to Exit 326 (former Exit 24) / Valley Forge Interchange and follow to Route 76 East. From Northeast Extension, follow Route 476 South to Route 76 East. Take Route 76 East to Exit 345 (former Exit 38) / Route 676 East (This exit is from the left lane). Go approximately ½ mile to the Broad Street / Central Philadelphia exit. At the top of the Broad Street exit ramp make an immediate right onto 15th Street. Go nine lights to Locust Street, and turn left. Go one block to Broad Street and turn left. Proceed immediately into the center lane to make a left into the garage entrance for self-parking or into Chancellor Court for valet parking and unloading luggage or passengers.

Conference Location

The conference is held at Hyatt at The Bellevue in Center City Philadelphia. Attendees who are coming by air will fly in to Philadelphia International Airport.

Hyatt at The Bellevue
200 South Broad Street
Philadelphia PA 19102
Telephone: 215.893.1234
Fax: 215.982.4833

Room Block Information:

We have blocked a set of rooms at the conference hotel, please click below to book your room.

https://resweb.passkey.com/go/moodyseconomicoutlook2016

Register Online
Register Now

Register by Email/Phone [email protected]
+1.866.275.3266

Dates
May 3 and 4, 2016

Venue
Hyatt at The Bellevue Philadelphia, PA

Event Time
8:00 a.m.

Fees
One Day: $1,095
Two Days: $1,895

Contact Us
U.S./Canada +1.866.275.3266
EMEA (London) +44.20.7772.5454
(Prague)  +420.224.222.929
Asia/Pacific +852.3551.3077
All Others +1.610.235.5299
EmailEmail       Live HelpLive Help