Selected press releases published by Moody's Analytics on the economic outlook for national and regional economies, as well as focused topics such real estate. Visit moodysanalytics.com to view all announcements published by the company.
According to the Moody’s Analytics baseline economic forecast, real global GDP will fall by 4.5% this year as a result of COVID-19. Our base case for the US suggests that it will take until mid-decade for the economy to return to full-employment.
Moody’s Analytics, a global provider of financial intelligence, ranks #1 in 14 international categories in the 2020 FocusEconomics Analyst Forecast Awards. These awards include #1 Best Overall Forecaster – Hong Kong SAR (China), plus the top ranking in five other forecast categories across 12 countries.
Moody’s Analytics, a leader in risk measurement and management, and CoreLogic, Australia’s leading property data, analytics and market insights company, forecast that home value growth will likely slow across Australia in 2016, following two years of exceptional home value appreciation and double-digit growth in many areas.
Commercial real estate prices are poised to cool on the coasts, while those in the central and southeastern US are set to rise more quickly by the end of the decade, according to newly launched Moody’s Analytics forecasts of the Real Capital Analytics Commercial Property Price Indices (RCA CPPI™).
Moody’s Analytics, a leader in risk measurement and management, today announced the launch of its AutoCycle solution, which allows banks, auto finance companies, insurers, auto dealers and other professionals to accurately forecast car values under a range of economic scenarios.
Moody's Analytics, a leading provider of economic forecast says that the US economic slowdown has ended, putting in place conditions for the Federal Reserve to begin raising short-term interest rates.
Moody's Analytics, a leading provider of economic forecasts, announced today that its economics team has been recognized with a Crystal Ball Award for the accuracy of its US home price forecasts.
Moody's Analytics, a leading provider of economic forecast expects the current US economic expansion to be one of the longest in history, as jobs continue to grow, wages revive, and households and business balance sheets strengthen.
Brookfield RPS, a leading provider of Canadian residential real estate valuation and business intelligence, and Moody's Analytics, a leader in regional economic forecasting, today announced the launch of the Brookfield RPS – Moody's Analytics House Price Forecasts.
"The US economy is finally off and running, with the number of jobs continuing to grow and wages finally starting to rise, which will also bolster the prospects for the housing recovery,” says Mark Zandi, a Managing Director and Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics. "Things are less rosy outside the US, however; the divergence between the US economy and much of the rest of the world is pretty striking."
Moody’s Analytics, a leader in global economic forecasting, today announced the launch of its European Regional Economic Forecasts, covering more than 2,000 sub-national regions in 31 countries.
Moody's Analytics, a leading provider of economic forecasts, expects U.S. GDP growth to approach 3%, a sign that the recovery has kicked into higher gear, according to the firm’s August outlook report, U.S. Macro Outlook: Back in Stride. In the report, Chief Economist Mark Zandi analyzes the factors behind the U.S. economy’s recent strength and the Federal Reserve’s role in its stabilization.
Moody's Analytics, a leading provider of economic forecasts, expects GDP growth to accelerate through 2015, and full employment by late 2016, according to the firm's July outlook report, U.S. Macro Outlook: The Productivity Puzzle. In the report, Chief Economist Mark Zandi analyzes why US real GDP growth stalled during the first half of 2014 as job growth quickened across a wider range of industries, regions and pay scales.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasts, has lowered its estimate of world GDP growth for this year to 2.7% from 3%. The revised outlook, "A Bumby Recovery for July," reflect weaker-than expected first-quarter results from the US, the euro area and Latin America.
LONDON – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, has released its latest outlook for the euro zone. According to the report, the euro area will likely grow 1.1% in 2014 and 1.7% in 2015, with deflation and weak lending as downside risks. Consumer prices across the euro zone grew 0.5% year-over-year in May compared with 0.7% in April.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, today released Chief Economist Mark Zandi's US economic outlook for June 2014. According to the report, the US recovery looks set to accelerate in the coming months, although significant challenges still remain.
LONDON – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, has released its latest outlook for Spain. According to the report, Spain's recovery is gaining momentum, with real GDP growth accelerating to 0.4% in the three months to March, the strongest pace in six years.
LONDON – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, has released its latest economic outlook for France. According to the report, "France Outlook: Bank Lending Stumbles Forward", France’s economic growth stalled in the first quarter of 2014, but should resume through the remainder of the year. However, French banks remain reluctant to lend to the private sector, undermining investment and causing liquidity problems for many companies.
LONDON – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, has released its latest Outlook for Germany. According to the report, Germany will record 1.8% growth in 2014 and 2% in 2015. Although this will pull Germany out from a double-dip slump, Moody’s Analytics believes the government will need to step up its efforts to introduce much-needed reforms over the next two years to ensure sustainable long-term growth.
LONDON/PRAGUE – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, has released its latest Outlook for Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). According to the report, the CEE region is expected to grow by 2% in 2014, 3% in 2015 and 4% in 2016. This growth will arise from more relaxed fiscal policies in the region, combined with an accommodative monetary policy and ongoing euro area recovery.
ENGLEWOOD CLIFFS, N.J. – With markets moving rapidly on reams of incoming economic data, it can be dizzying for investors to make sense of it all. Which data points matter and how much do they matter? CNBC, First in Business Worldwide, today announced the launch of CNBC Rapid Update powered by Moody’s Analytics, a tool that offers a new market-wide measure of how much an economic report changes the outlook on Wall Street for U.S. growth forecasts. Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, will be aggregating the data on behalf of CNBC. Steve Liesman, CNBC Senior Economics Reporter, will the lead coverage for CNBC Business Day programming and CNBC.com.
SYDNEY – Moody's Analytics says that it is important to examine house prices and vulnerabilities at the state level rather than national level, when stress testing the Australian housing market. The recent increase in sales and prices of Australian houses has reignited debate about the state of the country's property market, one of the few in the world that did not experience a significant correction following the global financial crisis of 2007-2008.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, today released Chief Economist Mark Zandi's 2014 U.S. economic outlook. According to "U.S. Macro Outlook 2014: A Breakout Year?" preconditions are in place for much stronger economic growth in 2014, though significant challenges still remain.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, today released Chief Economist Mark Zandi's U.S. economic outlook for November 2013. According to "U.S. Macro Outlook: First, Do No Harm," the U.S. economy faces severe fiscal headwinds as the most intense economic austerity since World War II drags on growth, while recent budget battles have taken a toll on confidence, entrepreneurship and job creation.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics has analyzed the Federal Reserve's Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) scenarios for 2014 and has developed detailed economic scenarios for more than 50 countries including the U.S. and its states and metropolitan areas. Moody's Analytics team of senior economists also considered possible narratives driving the CCAR scenarios, their likelihood of occurring and the severity of the scenarios.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, today released Chief Economist Mark Zandi's U.S. economic outlook for August. According to "U.S. Macro Outlook: Nearing the Threshold," the recent lag between GDP growth and U.S. job creation is unusual and unlikely to continue. Moody's Analytics expects real U.S. GDP growth of 2.75% for the second half of 2013 and near 3% for 2014.
SEATTLE – The full suite of Zillow® real estate aggregate data and related indices, including the Zillow Home Value Index and negative equity data, is now available to customers of Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting.
LONDON – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, today released its latest economic outlook for the U.K.. According to the report, U.K. Outlook: Tentative Signs of Revival, recent positive data suggest that economic recovery is finally in sight for the U.K. However, the economy faces a number of risks that could keep the nascent recovery from translating into a stronger expansion.
LONDON – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, today released its latest economic outlook for France. According to the report, France Outlook: Green Shoots Offer Hope, there are signs that the recession is moderating but the recovery will be weak into 2014 as recent tax increases and rising unemployment weigh on activity.
LONDON – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, today released its economic outlook for Germany for 2013. According to the report, Germany Outlook: Light Amid Recession's Shadow, the German economy is still at risk of recession. German GDP increased 0.1% in the first quarter of this year after a revised 0.7% contraction in the previous stanza.
LONDON – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, has released its economic outlook for Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) for 2013. According to the report, Hungary's economy has ended its recession, whereas the latest Polish and Czech GDP numbers were lower than expected.
LONDON – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, today released its economic outlook for the euro zone for 2013. According to the report, Euro Zone Outlook: More Pain Ahead, the currency union will remain in recession for most of 2013.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, today released Chief Economist Mark Zandi's U.S. economic outlook for May. According to "U.S. Macro Outlook: The Resilient Recovery," fiscal headwinds will intensify in the summer but growth will accelerate into next year as fiscal pressures moderate.
LONDON – Moody's Analytics, a leader in risk measurement and management, today announced that it has been appointed by the European Banking Authority (EBA) to help assist with the design, implementation and reporting of stress test exercises.
LONDON/PRAGUE – According to Moody's Analytics economic outlook, the major Central and Eastern European economies will struggle again this year, following a very challenging 2012. Growth in Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic will continue to be hampered by the euro zone crisis and weak domestic consumption.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, today released Chief Economist Mark Zandi's U.S. economic outlook for February. According to "U.S. Macro Outlook: Restarting the Engines," fiscal austerity will continue to drag on U.S. growth in the coming months, but monetary stimulus will ensure real U.S. GDP growth of almost 2% through mid-2013, the average pace of growth since the recovery began.
NEW YORK – Despite the ongoing recession in the euro zone and the likely continued stagnation next year, Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, says there are reasons for cautious optimism. These include the commitment of policymakers and the European Central Bank (ECB) to tackle the crisis through fiscal consolidation and borrowing programmes.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, today released Chief Economist Mark Zandi's U.S. economic outlook for 2013. According to "U.S. Macro Outlook 2013: Poised for Liftoff," fiscal policy will continue to drag on U.S. growth in 2013, but the economy should gain traction by the second half of year, powered by a reviving private sector.
LONDON – Moody´s Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, expects Euro zone GDP to stop falling in 2013, according to the Euro Zone economic outlook presented at its annual economic outlook conference in London today. Germany is anticipated to be among the few countries in the currency union to post positive GDP growth in 2013, forecast for 1.2%, a rate just half of that expected for the U.S.
NEW YORK – Download this press release to learn about Moody's Analytics' new detailed economic scenarios for the U.S. and its states and metropolitan areas consistent with the Federal Reserve's Comprehensive and Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) scenarios.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, today released Chief Economist Mark Zandi's U.S. economic outlook for November. According to "U.S. Macro Outlook: The Fiscal Countdown Begins," unless the Obama administration and House Republicans can agree on federal fiscal policy, the economy will be in recession by the spring of 2013.
ROSELAND, N.J – ADP®, a leader in human capital management services, and Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, today announced enhancements to the ADP National Employment Report®, ADP's widely followed gauge of U.S. nonfarm private sector employment.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, today released Chief Economist Mark Zandi's U.S. economic outlook for October. According to "U.S. Macro Outlook: Slow and Steady Isn't Enough" hiring and economic growth will revive in 2013, assuming policymakers address fiscal issues. By 2014, real GDP growth will approach a 4% annual pace, with job growth of more than 250,000 per month and unemployment declining steadily.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics today announced the addition of two U.S. Fiscal Cliff Scenarios: Fiscal Cliff ("Cliff") Scenario and No Fiscal Cliff ("No Cliff") Scenario to its forecasting tools to help firms analyze the economic impact of different fiscal outcomes on their business.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, today released Chief Economist Mark Zandi's U.S. economic outlook for August. According to " U.S. Macro Outlook: Moving Forward, Slowly," Zandi expects real GDP growth to remain near 2% and unemployment to remain higher than 8%. The risks to the outlook are decidedly to the downside and leave the odds of another recession at an uncomfortably high of 30%.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, today announced the global expansion of its Alternative Scenarios economic forecast service, which now covers 49 countries, representing more than 93% of world economic output. The economic forecasts include a baseline, or most likely outcome scenario, and six alternative economic scenarios covering both downside and upside risks.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, today released Chief Economist Mark Zandi's latest U.S. monthly economic outlook. According to "U.S. Macro Outlook: Policymakers Must Get It Right," Zandi expects the U.S. economy to gain traction going into 2014 and to return to full employment, meaning a jobless rate lower than 6%, by late 2015. However, such optimism depends heavily on the decisions of policymakers in the U.S. and abroad.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, has today released Chief Economist Mark Zandi's latest U.S. monthly economic outlook. According to "U.S. Macro Outlook: Beneath the Surface, a Recovery," Zandi expects the U.S. economy to grow at 2.5% through mid-2013, before accelerating to a stronger 4% by mid-2014. The unemployment rate should fall below 8% by year's end and near 7% by the end of 2013, similar to last month's forecast.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, has today released Chief Economist Mark Zandi's latest U.S. monthly economic outlook. According to U.S. Macro Outlook: Gathering Pace," Zandi expects the U.S. economy to grow at 2.5% through mid-2013, before accelerating to a stronger 4% by mid-2014. Full employment, defined as an unemployment rate just under 6%, should be achieved by late 2015.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic data and analysis, today announced the launch of Dismal Scientist® for iPad® mobile digital device, a free application providing real-time information for more than 300 economic indicators in 46 countries. The app is a valuable tool for investors, analysts or anyone who needs to keep abreast of the fast-changing global economy.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics' Chief Economist Mark Zandi predicts stronger U.S. growth this year depending on decisions by policymakers. In his report, "U.S. Macro Outlook 2012: A Tentatively Better Year," Zandi projects that real GDP will grow by 2.6% this year, while payroll job gains will improve from 1.6 million in 2011 to close to 2 million.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics' Chief Economist Mark Zandi has lowered his expectations for the growth of the U.S. economy into 2012. According to his report, "U.S. Macro Outlook 2012: Diminished Expectations," U.S. GDP will grow 2.6% next year and unemployment will likely remain high.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics' Chief Economist Mark Zandi believes that the probability of a recession in the next six to 12 months is at an all time high of 40 percent. In his report, "U.S. Macro Outlook: Fears Across the Sea," Mark Zandi says that there are several indicators the U.S. economy will fall back into a recession. One main indicator is the increased number of corporate layoff announcements and another is flattening retail sales.
NEW YORK – In response to the new stress test requirements announced by the U.S. Federal Reserve on November 22, 2011, Moody's Analytics, a leading independent provider of economic forecasting, has today announced the addition of the Fed's baseline and stress test scenarios to its U.S. Macro Forecast Model. The new stress test scenario, aligned with the Fed's Supervisory Stress Scenario, provides clients with a tool to evaluate the impact a major economic shock would have on its business.
ATLANTA AND NEW YORK – Equifax (NYSE: EFX) and Moody's Analytics have joined forces to redesign CreditForecast.com, adding powerful new features to analyze and forecast consumer credit risk with greater granularity. CreditForecast.com can now forecast credit performance by origination vintage and analyze consumer behavior within credit score segments with greater precision.
NEW YORK – House prices will continue to decline through the middle of 2011, but the severity of the decline will vary according to location, says Moody's Analytics in a newly-available forecast.
NEW YORK – Economic Scenario Generator is the cornerstone of a market-consistent valuation of the balance sheet and represents the appropriate tool to properly monitor and manage both market and credit risk from an integrated perspective, says Moody's Analytics in a new report.
NEW YORK – RealtyTrac's foreclosure, property, loan, and home sales data is now available via Moody's Analytics, an independent provider of economic forecasting and credit risk services. By aggregating RealtyTrac's proprietary foreclosure information and combining it with local economic and house price measures, Moody's says banks, asset managers, and federal and local governments are given insight into all stages of the foreclosure process.
NEW YORK – Moody's Analytics announced today the launch of a new service for forecasting and stress testing the performance of consumer loan portfolios. Called Moody's CreditCycle, the service is the only one of its kind that integrates internal, lender-specific performance factors, such as lending standards and collection practices, with regional economic performance data and forecasts.
