Forecast: U.S. RealtyTrac® Foreclosures

Accurate measures of U.S. foreclosures by market.

Moody's Analytics and RealtyTrac® have partnered to create the most trustworthy and authoritative foreclosure data available for forecasting of U.S. house prices/performance of consumer loans regionally. RealtyTrac® Foreclosures allows for forecasting of house prices and performance of consumer loans regionally using both flow measures (starts) and inventory counts at the aggregate level for every stage of foreclosure, preforeclosure, auction and bank-owned.

Applications

  • Improving house price forecasts
  • Identifying market opportunities based on local conditions
  • Home equity and credit card marketing programs
  • Risk management for mortgage securities investors
  • Managing mortgage servicing portfolios
  • Measuring risk exposure to residential real estate
  • Identifying markets with most risk/opportunity

Key Features

FORECAST

Forecasts are available for inventories and starts for three stages of foreclosure - In Process, REO (real-estate owned) and Total Properties - at the national, regional, state and metro levels. Forecasts and data are updated monthly.

  • Stages: Inventories and starts for three stages of foreclosure: In Process, REO (real-estate owned) and Total Properties
  • Coverage: U.S., four regions, nine divisions, 50 states, 29 metropolitan divisions, 366 metropolitan areas
  • Periodicity: Monthly
  • Updates: Monthly
  • Forecast: 30 years
HISTORICAL

RealtyTrac® Foreclosures consists of available inventories (in foreclosure on the last day of the month) as well as starts (properties added in the month)

  • Stages: pre-foreclosure (notice of default, loss pending), auction (notices of trustee sale, notice of foreclosure), bank-owned (REO) and total Number of filings
  • Coverage: U.S., four regions, nine divisions, 50 states, 29 metropolitan divisions, 366 metropolitan areas, 3,110 counties, 40,000 ZIP Codes

The activity series is seasonally adjusted down to the county level. Foreclosure rates, the number of foreclosures per 1,000 households, is available down to the county level.