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Forecast Changes: International Macro Models [July 2018]
Wednesday, 11 Jul 2018 09:09 ET
By Amy Berdanier
July 2018 -- The July vintage of the Moody's Analytics international macro forecasts introduces eight new country models and two new geographic aggregates along with two geographic aggregate deletions.

New Models

Moody's Analytics has expanded its global country forecast coverage by adding eight new country models. Forecast mnemonic concepts are consistent between countries. In addition to the baseline forecast, standard alternative scenarios (S0, S1, S2, S3, S4, S5, S6, S8) are available. Country forecasts are updated on a monthly basis. The new countries are: Bahrain, Cambodia, Kuwait, Laos, Myanmar, Oman, Qatar, and Vietnam.

Geographic Aggregates

  •  Additions:
    • IASEA: Association of Southeast Asian Nations (contains 9 of the 10 ASEAN countries)
      • Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam
    • IGCCO: Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)
      • Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates (UAE)
  • Deletions: Due to diminished relevance, the following geographic aggregates have been removed from the Global Forecast Aggregates database:
    • ILAM3: Latin America 3 (Brazil, Chile and Mexico)
    • IEU25: European Union 25 (EU 15 + 10 New Members)
Related ReleaseGlobal Country Forecast - Baseline
SourceMoody's Analytics (ECCA)
Release DateReference date
09 Jun 2020Jun 2020
07 Jul 2020Jul 2020
11 Aug 2020Aug 2020
08 Sep 2020Sep 2020
12 Oct 2020Oct 2020
10 Nov 2020Nov 2020
08 Dec 2020Dec 2020
12 Jan 2021Jan 2021