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Data Change: U.S. - NIPA comprehensive update [2018] [Updated]
Friday, 26 Oct 2018 13:40 ET
By Elizabeth Fitts
Summary
27 July 2018 -- The BEA "National Income and Product Accounts" have undergone their routine five-year comprehensive update. Concurrent with the advance estimate for 2018Q2, results will be revised for 1929 through 2018Q1. There will be changes to the corpus of series, their definitions, and table layouts; consequently, to our mnemonics and metadata.
Detail

On 27 July 2018, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis disseminated selected quarterly and annual NIPA tables revised from 1929 forward.

Contents

  • Scope of the dataset
  • Concordance
  • Response by Moody's Analytics
  • Impact on mnemonics
  • Impact on metadata
  • Impact on Data Buffet catalog
  • Timeline
  • References
  • See also
  • Updates to this article

Scope of the dataset

  • 16,622 series total, of which 6,539 have aliases
  • 1,820 monthly series, de-duplicated from 1,900
  • 4,719 quarterly series, de-duplicated from 5,353
  • 10,083 annual series

Concordance

To assist in translating from legacy Data Buffet retrievals (2013 structure), BEA bulk data, or NIPA table position, we have attached a concordance. The spreadsheet has seven columns:

  • BEA identifier
  • Mnemonic, pattern NCU18_(M,Q,A).IUSA
  • Alias(es) for backwards compatibility
  • Previously associated mnemonic, if we have removed it because it misrepresented the series or was inconsistent (66 instances)
  • Frequency (M, Q or A)
  • BEA positions (bar-separated list of table number, colon, line number)

Response by Moody's Analytics

  • Archived all prior data under systematically modified mnemonics, for example: GDP_2017.IUSA
    • If when retrieving archived series you receive the message "Series found: database closed" you will need to activate data bank NIPA_2017.db, under menu:Settings » Default Databanks.
  • Revised existing series.
  • Updated measurement units to match BEA:
    • Advanced the currency reference period from 2009 to 2012. Quantity and price indexes will be expressed as 2012=100.
    • Changed the scale from billions to millions. The estimates for most tables showing real (chained-dollar) estimates will reflect this change.
  • Where necessary, created new mnemonics for new tables.
  • Standardized mnemonics.
  • Start dates may change. The estimates for most tables showing real, or chained-dollar, estimates will start at 2002.

Impact on mnemonics

Please see the attached document for the complete list of mnemonics associated with these releases.

Key changes:

  • Before: Monthly and quarterly series have meaningful mnemonics, grouped by indicator (personal income, price index, inventories, etc.). Annual mnemonics describe the position of the series (table and line number).
  • After: Our mnemonics embed the BEA unique identifier (created recently). For monthly and quarterly series only, aliases are retained for backwards compatibility.

For example:

BEA identifierNew canonical mnemonicBackwards-compatible alias(es)Old mnemonic(s)Frequency
B070RC NCU18_B070RCM.IUSA IMTTPRWPM.IUSA
YPRESTM.IUSA
IMTTPRWPM.IUSA
YPRESTM.IUSA
Monthly
A191RC NCU18_A191RCQ.IUSA GDP.IUSA GDP.IUSA Quarterly
B089RC NCU18_B089RCQ.IUSA GSRRG.IUSA
GFEPOGQ.IUSA
GFESUQ.IUSA
GSRRG.IUSA
GFEPOGQ.IUSA
GFESUQ.IUSA
Quarterly
A001RC NCU18_A001RCA.IUSA n/a NIPA_T1_7_5L4A.IUSA
NIPA_T1_17_5L6A.IUSA
Annual

Design considerations:

  • The common prefix "NCU18" and the standard frequency specifier (A, Q or M) facilitate wild card retrieval, e.g., "NCU18?Q.IUSA" for all quarterly series.
  • If you are familiar with the BEA's identifiers, you will be able to directly construct a Data Buffet mnemonic.
  • Select NIPA series are repeated across tables and share one BEA series identifier. We are now able to detect duplicate series, thereby improving the quality of our extract (i.e., in pursuit of referential integrity).
  • Some metrics are available at multiple frequencies; these share one BEA series identifier, but we download and store them as distinct series, with mnemonics differentiated by the frequency specifier character.
  • The replacement annual series will not have aliases. With each five-year update, BEA redesigns the NIPA tables, so a mnemonic (for the 2018 structure) that refers to the position (in the 2013 structure) would be misleading.

Impact on metadata

We have standardized the "description" metadata.

  • The text-descriptor reflects the hierarchical position of an indicator within its table. If the series is duplicated (at multiple lines within a table, or in multiple tables), we use the lowest line number or table number.
  • If a series is real and at chained prices, the text-descriptor will almost invariably include the word "real", and the unit-descriptor will embed our symbol "Ch. USD" ("chained U.S. dollars").
  • If the series is derived from real prices, the text-descriptor will include the word "real", and the unit-descriptor will contain the symbol "Vol. % pts.", "Vol. Q/Q", or "Vol Y/Y".

For example:

BEA identifierNew mnemonicAliasOld descriptionNew description
A191RX NCU18_A191RXQ.IUSA GDP$.IUSA Gross domestic product, (Bil. Ch. 2009 USD, SAAR) NIPA: Gross domestic product, (Mil. Ch. 2012 USD, SAAR)
KSMT NCU18_KSMTM.IUSA MTI$M.IUSA Real Manufacturing and Trade Inventories: Manufacturing and Trade Industries, (Mil. Ch. 2009 USD, SA) NIPA: Real manufacturing and trade inventories - Manufacturing and trade industries, (Mil. Ch. 2012 USD, SA)
DODGRL NCU18_DODGRLQ.IUSA CDMVP$%%Q.IUSA n/a NIPA: Percent change from preceding period in real GDP - Personal consumption expenditures - Goods - Durable goods - Other durable goods, (Vol. % Q/Q, SAAR)

As we do currently, the "source" metadata lists all NIPA tables in which a series appears. (The BEA provides a "series register" which is the authoritative guide to these associations; see the References below.) For example:

  • NCU18_SAARTM.IUSA (alias CARM.IUSA, auto and truck unit sales) is in a single table: U70205S, at line 4.
  • NCU18_A19RLA.IUSA is in 14 tables. The BEA-syntax listing is: T10101:1|T10102:1|T10201:1|T10202:1|T10301:1|T10401:1|T10501:1|T10502:1|T10701:1|T10803:15|T11701:1|U90200:10|U90300:9|U90500:1

Impact on Data Buffet catalog

Because the BEA presentation has changed, expect changes to the Data Buffet catalog. The parent node is:

Historical - United States » National accounts » National Income and Product Accounts

Timeline

We plan to extract series to Data Buffet on the same day they are disseminated by BEA.

Completed

  • 27 Jul at 8:30 AM - News release for "GDP: Second Quarter 2018 (Advance Estimate), Comprehensive Update: 1929 through First Quarter 2018." Web release of the quarterly "selected" NIPA tables through BEA's interactive data system.
  • 31 Jul at 8:30 AM - News release for "Personal Income and Outlays: June 2018" and Web release of monthly NIPA tables.
  • 3 Aug AT 8:30 AM - Web release of "Underlying Detail" tables through BEA's interactive data system.
  • NLT 10 Aug - Web release of most NIPA tables not included in the "selected" NIPA tables through BEA's interactive data system.
  • Mid-September - In the September Survey of Current Business, publication of the article that details the results of the 2018 Comprehensive Update of the NIPAs which includes:
    • The seven NIPA summary accounts
    • The table of selected components and major source data
    • The tables of revisions to major aggregates
Upcoming
  • September through December - Release of NIPA tables 2.9, 3.15-3.23, 5.10, 7.15, and 7.19, and of the fixed assets accounts tables and of the integrated macroeconomic accounts through BEA's interactive data system.

References

See also

Updates

  • 26 Jul - Initial version
  • 31 Jul - Updated completed timeline 
  • 03 Aug - Updated completed timeline and attachment 
  • 26 Oct - Updated completed timeline and catalog path
Other
Related ReleaseNational Income and Product Accounts
SourceU.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)
FrequencyQuarterly
GeographyUnited States
Upcoming
Release DateReference date
25 Apr 20241Q 2024
30 May 20241Q 2024
27 Jun 20241Q 2024
Related ReleaseNational Income and Product Accounts - Underlying Detail Tables - Monthly
SourceU.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)
FrequencyMonthly
GeographyUnited States
Catalog
Upcoming
Release DateReference date
26 Apr 2024Mar 2024
31 May 2024Apr 2024
28 Jun 2024May 2024
26 Jul 2024Jun 2024
30 Aug 2024Jul 2024
27 Sep 2024Aug 2024
31 Oct 2024Sep 2024
27 Nov 2024Oct 2024
20 Dec 2024Nov 2024
Related ReleasePersonal Income and Outlays
SourceU.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)
FrequencyMonthly
GeographyUnited States
Catalog
Upcoming
Release DateReference date
26 Apr 2024Mar 2024
31 May 2024Apr 2024
28 Jun 2024May 2024
26 Jul 2024Jun 2024
30 Aug 2024Jul 2024
27 Sep 2024Aug 2024
31 Oct 2024Sep 2024
27 Nov 2024Oct 2024
20 Dec 2024Nov 2024
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