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Forecast Respecified: U.S. - Macro model [November 2019]
Friday, 08 Nov 2019 14:51 ET
By Michael Ferlez
Summary
November 2019 -- Ahead of the November vintage of the Moody's Analytics U.S. macro forecast, we have added a forecast for the small business optimism index. Additionally, we have also added nonseasonally adjusted versions of our seasonally adjusted vehicle retention and sales price forecasts.
Detail

To ensure the highest-quality forecasts, Moody's Analytics periodically revises its forecast methodology for selected variables. The attached documents describe these changes in detail, with an overview (for example, what changed and why), previous equation specifications, and new equation specifications. New equation specifications will appear in Mnemonic 411.

Added:

FSBINQ.IUSA = Baseline Scenario (November 2019): Small business: Normalized optimism index, (Index 1986=100, SA)

FVHIRNCUQ.IUSA = Baseline Scenario (November 2019): Automobiles: Retention Value - Cars, (Index Jan2010=100, NSA)

FVHIRNTUQ.IUSA = Baseline Scenario (November 2019): Automobiles: Retention Value - Trucks, (Index Jan2010=100, NSA)

FVHIRNUQ.IUSA = Baseline Scenario (November 2019): Automobiles: Retention Value - Market, (Index Jan2010=100, NSA)

FVHISLCUQ.IUSA = Baseline Scenario (November 2019): Automobiles: Sale Price - Cars, (Index Jan2010=100, NSA)

FVHISLTUQ.IUSA = Baseline Scenario (November 2019): Automobiles: Sale Price - Trucks, (Index Jan2010=100, NSA)

FVHISLUQ.IUSA = Baseline Scenario (November 2019): Automobiles: Sale Price - Market, (Index Jan2010=100, NSA)

Other
Related ReleaseU.S. Forecast - Baseline
SourceMoody's Analytics (ECCA)
FrequencyMonthly
GeographyUnited States
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Related ReleaseU.S. Forecast Alternative Scenarios
SourceMoody's Analytics (ECCA)
FrequencyMonthly
GeographyUnited States
Catalog
Upcoming
Release DateReference date
09 May 2024May 2024
13 Jun 2024Jun 2024
11 Jul 2024Jul 2024
08 Aug 2024Aug 2024
12 Sep 2024Sep 2024
10 Oct 2024Oct 2024
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Attachments