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New Data: Russia - Macroeconomic outlook
Friday, 02 Jun 2017 17:00 ET
By Victoria Donu
Summary
May 2017 -- Data Buffet now carries the macroeconomic projections used by the central bank of Russia when setting monetary policy (26 new annual series from 2015).
Detail

This dataset is part of our cross-country central bank macroeconomic outlook project (see related article).

  • Source document: Monetary Policy Guidelines
  • Source table:
    • Key parameters of the Bank of Russia's forecast
  • Available in English: yes
  • Indicator types: components of GDP, inflation, money supply, loans, crude oil price
  • Units:
    • % Y/Y = percent change year-over-year
    • USD per Bbl AVE = U.S. dollars per barrel, average over period
  • Scenarios: baseline only (note 1)
  • Range: upper and lower bounds (note 2)
  • Frequency: annual
  • Start date: 2015
  • Forecast horizon: 2019 / three years
  • Revision frequency: once per year
  • Catalog: (Russia » Cyclical indicators » Outlook » CBR - Monetary Policy Guidelines

Series include, for example:

  • JPCNRUOLCHUA.IRUS = Urals crude oil price - Upper bound, (USD per Bbl AVE)
  • JNA%RUGCFLUA.IRUS = Gross capital formation - Lower bound, (% Y/Y)
  • JMB%RUMBLUA.IRUS  = Monetary base narrow definition - Lower bound, (% Y/Y)

Notes:

  1. The Guidelines document contains two alternative scenarios ("Scenario I" is the baseline, "Scenario II" and "Scenario III" are alternatives), but Data Buffet carries only the baseline.
  2. For most of the variables, the document tabulates ranges, but not a median value. Data Buffet carries both the upper and lower values.

References:

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Other
Related ReleaseForecast of Key Indicators
SourceThe Central Bank of the Russian Federation
FrequencyAnnual
GeographyRussian Federation