Changes to model inputs

Inputs to the Moody's Analytics forecast models encompass both historical verbatim datasets and Moody's Analytics historical estimates. Changes originate at the source (revision or redefinition), our choice of inputs (source entity, specific indicator, or variant of an indicator), and our pre-processing of inputs (frequency conversion, etc.).

We may construct estimates as an interim solution when a source does not report in a convenient analytic form, but always prefer to use a source verbatim. A change from a cross-national source to a national source improves timeliness, transparency and consistency, unless otherwise noted.

In the table below, when a country name is marked (*), the change flows from a single country into relevant regional aggregates. The abbreviations "NCB" and "NSI" refer to the national central bank and national statistical institute of each country, respectively. The abbreviation "n.o.s." means "not otherwise stated".

Changes to forecast mnemonics

None.

Changes to forecast metadata

See summary table for specifics.

• Observed attribute ("OBSE") on:
• Bahrain, monetary policy rate
• Bahrain, share price index
• China, monetary policy rate
• Nigeria, share price index
• Unit-descriptor on:
• Slovenia retail sales
• Source citation on:
• Malaysia PPI

Summary table

See also

Forecasts:

• Other articles in this series

Historical and estimates not linked above:

• None

Background and terminology:

• Using Data Buffet: Frequency conversion and the "observed" attribute
• Using Data Buffet: Dissecting metadata
• Using Data Buffet: Read series measurement units (unit-descriptor)

Updates

• 5 Aug - Initial version
• 8 Aug - URL syntax corrected, additional example mnemonics