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New Forecast: Cross-country - 30 expansion countries
Wednesday, 09 Oct 2019 19:09 ET
By Richard Cross
Summary
September 2019 -- The Moody's Analytics "Global National Forecast" databases now include 103 areas, viz., 30 new "expansion" countries/jurisdictions in addition to the 73 of the Global Macro Model.
Detail

To better serve demand for forecasts of emerging markets and smaller countries and jurisdictions, we have added a set of 30 “expansion areas” (*1) to our Global National Forecast databases. They will be updated quarterly and will include five of our standard alternative scenarios. Concept coverage varies, reflecting availability of historical data (*2).

To discuss specific contents and pricing, please contact your Moody's Analytics sales representative.

Expansion countries/jurisdictions

  • Update cadence: Four times each year, in the third month of each quarter
  • Alternative scenarios: B, S0 to S4
  • Geo count: 30
  • Geos: Armenia, Bahamas, Bangladesh, Bermuda, Botswana, Brunei, Congo (Democratic Republic of), Costa Rica, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Honduras, Iraq, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Macao SAR (*1), Mauritius, Morocco, Mozambique, Pakistan, Panama, Senegal, Seychelles, Sierra Leone, Sri Lanka, Tanzania, Tunisia, Uganda, Uzbekistan, Zambia

Global Macro Model

  • Update cadence: 12 times each year
  • Alternative scenarios: B, S0 to S8 excluding S7 (*3), CF
  • Geo count: 73
  • Geos: Algeria, Argentina, Australia, Austria, Bahrain, Belgium, Bulgaria, Brazil, Cambodia, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Egypt, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hong Kong SAR (*1), Hungary, India, Indonesia, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Jordan, Japan, South Korea, Kuwait, Laos, Latvia, Lebanon, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malaysia, Malta, Mexico, Myanmar, Netherlands, New Zealand, Nigeria, Norway, Oman, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Qatar, Romania, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan ROC (*1), Thailand, Turkey, Ukraine, UAE, U.K., U.S., Uruguay, Venezuela, Vietnam

Country composites

At this time, we have added one country-composite geo:

  • IMENA = Middle East-North Africa

Notes

(*1) The term "country/jurisdiction" in this context means "identified using an I^^^-pattern geo code". For statistical convenience, Data Buffet assigns such geo codes to Hong Kong SAR, Macau SAR, and Taiwan ROC. Moody's Analytics takes no position on the dispute between the People's Republic of China and Taiwan (Republic of China) regarding sovereignty of the latter.

(*2) The specific set of forecast concepts varies by country model, across both the expansion and Global Macro Model sets, depending chiefly on availability of historical data. Our U.S. macro model has the broadest set of concepts.

(*3) Standard alternative scenario S7 is produced only for the U.S. macro model.

See also

Other
Related ReleaseGlobal Country Forecast - Baseline
SourceMoody's Analytics (ECCA)
FrequencyMonthly
GeographyWorld
Upcoming
Release DateReference date
10 Dec 2019Dec 2019
10 Jan 2020Jan 2020
Related ReleaseGlobal Country Forecast - Scenarios
SourceMoody's Analytics (ECCA)
FrequencyMonthly
GeographyWorld
Upcoming
Release DateReference date
17 Dec 2019Dec 2019
17 Jan 2020Jan 2020
Related ReleaseGlobal National Forecast - Extension Countries
SourceMoody's Analytics (ECCA)
FrequencyQuarterly
GeographyWorld
Upcoming
Release DateReference date
30 Dec 20194Q 2019
Related ReleaseGlobal National Forecast - Extension Countries - Alternative Scenarios
SourceMoody's Analytics (ECCA)
FrequencyQuarterly
GeographyWorld
Upcoming
Release DateReference date
31 Dec 20194Q 2019