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Forecast Note: Cross-country - Data inputs to global macro model [Oct 2018]
Monday, 08 Oct 2018 13:11 ET
By Richard Cross
Summary
October 2018 -- A summary of changes to historical datasets that will be integrated into the October vintage of the Moody's Analytics global macro model (eight countries and two country-aggregates impacted).
Detail

Changes to model inputs

Inputs to the Moody's Analytics forecast models encompass both historical verbatim datasets and Moody's Analytics historical estimates. Changes include both choice of series and revisions to series.

  • Bahrain - Labor revisions in World Bank "World Development Indicators" (WDI).
  • Colombia - National accounts re-referenced to 2015, and industrial classification advanced to ISIC Rev. 4.
  • Kuwait - WDI
  • Lebanon - WDI
  • Mexico - CPI rebased to 2018.
  • Nigeria - WDI
  • Qatar - WDI
  • U.S. - Revisions to FRB household debt service ratios (SFORQ.IUSA SDEBT.IUSA SDEBTMQ.IUSA SDEBTCQ.IUSA).

Changes to individual countries flow through to country-aggregates:

  • Gulf Cooperation Council (geo code IGCCO)
  • Africa (IAFRC)

Changes to forecast mnemonics

None.

See also

Other
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Related ReleaseU.S. Forecast Alternative Scenarios
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FrequencyMonthly
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13 Jun 2024Jun 2024
11 Jul 2024Jul 2024
08 Aug 2024Aug 2024
12 Sep 2024Sep 2024
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