Forecast: China Macro & Subnational

Economic, demographic and financial data for China and its subregions.

Moody’s Analytics produces baseline forecasts and alternative scenarios for China and its subregions based on our integrated Global Macroeconomic Model and deep understanding of the global economy. Our trusted forecasts and scenarios are used by clients worldwide for their risk management, compliance and strategic planning needs. We furnish monthly forecasts, alternative scenarios and scenario narratives, as well as a detailed methodology and full access to our economists.

  • Macro Coverage: People’s Republic of China
  • Variables: Includes balance of payments, national accounts, consumer price index, employment, real estate, house price index, industrial production index, population, producers price index, retail sales, unit labor cost, wages, salaries and more.
  • Sources: Bank for International Settlements, International Monetary Fund, National Bureau of Statistics of the People’s Republic of China, People’s Bank of China, SIX Financial Information, State Administration of Foreign Exchange China, and The World Bank.
  • Periodicity: Quarterly
  • Updates: Forecasts & Alternative Scenarios Updated Monthly
  • Forecast Horizon: 30 years

  • Subnational Coverage: Anhui, Beijing, Chongqing, Fujian, Gansu, Guangdong, Guangxi, Guizhou, Hainan, Hubei, Hebei, Heilongjiang, Henan, Hunan, Inner Mongolia, Jiangsu, Jiangxi, Jilin, Liaoning, Ningxia, Qinghai, Shaanxi, Shandong, Shanghai, Sichuan, Shanxi, Tibet, Tianjin, Xinjiang, Yunnan, Zhejiang
  • Variables: Includes population, employment and output by industry, unemployment rate, house price index and more.
  • Sources: National Bureau of Statistics of the People’s Republic of China, Moody’s Analytics Estimated and Forecasted.
  • Periodicity: Quarterly
  • Updates: Forecasts & Alternative Scenarios Updated Monthly
  • Forecast Horizon: 30 years