U.S. Macro Forecast Model

Structural economic modeling platform for custom scenarios.

The U.S. Macro Forecast Model platform enables clients to use Moody's Analytics forecast data to create and analyze "what if" scenarios based on their own assumptions. Using our comprehensive forecast catalog of more than 1,800 detailed economic variables and standardized economic scenarios, clients can create their own simulations to explore a range of differing economic outcomes such as oil price shocks, housing bust or booms, high or low interest rates, natural disasters and inflation.

Applications

The U.S. Macro Forecast Model has broad appeal among customers from different industries such as commercial real estate, utility, local governments, consumer lending, and retail, etc. Applications include:

  • Stress-testing your portfolio
  • Forming contingency plans
  • Evaluating shocks
  • Preparing forecasts based on your corporate assumptions
  • Linking the U.S. model to your own models

Key Features

  • Web-based—no software to download or purchase
  • No mnemonics to learn—just point and click
  • Access readily available series information on the equations and add-factors
  • Trace through the linkages—which variables affect one another
  • Chart across scenarios for easy comparison

Model Attributes

  • Variables: More than 1,800 detailed economic, demographic and financial time series, including GDP, employment, prices, interest rates, banking, credit quality, construction, industry, as well as household balance sheets and credit quality conditions not found in other large-scale models
  • Forecast horizon: 30 years
  • Periodicity: Quarterly
  • Updates: Monthly
  • Scenarios: Moody's Analytics baseline forecasts and standard alternative scenarios, updated monthly