2019 U.S. Outlook: From Virtuous to Vicious Cycle

The next U.S. recession is coming into view.

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CECL Will Strengthen, Not Hinder, Financial System

Modeling Credit Card Losses Under CECL

Real-time Analysis

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Earnings-Sensitive Securities Often Stumble 12 Months After Very Low Jobless Rate

Feb 15

Economic Roundup: Shakened but Not Stirred

Feb 15

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Incontrovertible Evidence That China Is Cooling

Feb 15

Venezuelan Refugee Crisis Grips Peru

Feb 14

In the News

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Limitations of Artificial Intelligence in Banking

Feb 11

Plans to ‘Fix the Damn Roads’ May Help U.S. Hold Off Recession

Feb 04

Another Partial Government Shutdown Would Completely Undermine Confidence

Feb 01

Good News, Bad News on the Horizon

Jan 15

Events

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Validating Models Effectively

Feb 26, 2019

Webconference

U.S. Consumer Credit Outlook

Feb 27, 2019

Webconference

Moody's Analytics Executive Roundtable - Washington D.C.

Mar 11, 2019

Washington D.C.

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Purely quantitative forecasts of used car prices.

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Forecasts and analysis of Equifax credit bureau data.

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Mark Zandi

Chief Economist

Mark M. Zandi is chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, where he directs economic research. Moody’s Analytics, a subsidiary of Moody’s Corp., is a leading provider of economic research, data and analytical tools. Dr. Zandi is a cofounder of Economy.com, which Moody’s pur...
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2019 U.S. Outlook: From Virtuous to Vicious Cycle

Latest Insight

View All

Real-time Analysis

View All

Earnings-Sensitive Securities Often Stumble 12 Months After Very Low Jobless Rate

Economic Roundup: Shakened but Not Stirred

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Incontrovertible Evidence That China Is Cooling

Venezuelan Refugee Crisis Grips Peru

In the News

View All

Limitations of Artificial Intelligence in Banking

Plans to ‘Fix the Damn Roads’ May Help U.S. Hold Off Recession

Another Partial Government Shutdown Would Completely Undermine Confidence

Good News, Bad News on the Horizon

Events

View All Events

Validating Models Effectively

U.S. Consumer Credit Outlook

Moody's Analytics Executive Roundtable - Washington D.C.

Explore Our Products & Services

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Scenario Studio

Auto Residual Forecasts

Consumer Credit Forecasts

Global Macroeconomic Research

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U.S. Précis® Macro

Regional Financial Review

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U.S. Macro and Regional Forecasts

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U.S. Case-Shiller® Home Price Index Forecasts

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Expected Consumer Credit Losses (ECCL)

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Meet Our Experts

Mark Zandi

Chief Economist

Mark M. Zandi is chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, where he directs economic research. Moody’s Analytics, a subsidiary of Moody’s Corp., is a leading provider of economic research, data and analytical tools. Dr. Zandi is a cofounder of Economy.com, which Moody’s pur...Read More

Webinar Replay: Briefing on the CCAR Scenarios

We examine details of the Fed's Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review stress test for banks.

Trump Trade War: An Uneasy Truce

We consider the fallout if current negotiations break down.

Evolving Picture of the U.S. Shutdown Costs

Delayed tax refunds and lapsed food stamp funding pose significant, though temporary, risks to growth

Steven Cochrane

Managing Director

Steven G. Cochrane, PhD, is Chief APAC Economist with Moody’s Analytics. He leads the Asia economic analysis and forecasting activities of the Moody’s Analytics research team, as well as the continual expansion of the company’s international, national and subnational fo...Read More

Forecaster’s Mailbag: Asia's Central Banks Turn Less Hawkish

The Fed’s dovish stance means interest rate spreads between the U.S. and emerging markets should not be expected to widen much this year.

Stalemate in U.S. Congress; Little Change for Asia

The U.S. midterm election outcome will result in few policy changes, more executive action.

Vietnam Outlook: Resiliency Amidst Uncertainty

Mark M. Zandi is chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, where he directs economic research. Moody’s Analytics, a subsidiary of Moody’s Corp., is a leading provider of economic research, data and analytical tools. Dr. Zandi is a cofounder of Economy.com, which Moody’s pur...
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Steven G. Cochrane, PhD, is Chief APAC Economist with Moody’s Analytics. He leads the Asia economic analysis and forecasting activities of the Moody’s Analytics research team, as well as the continual expansion of the company’s international, national and subnational fo...
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Cristian deRitis is a senior director at Moody’s Analytics, where he leads a team of economic analysts and develops econometric models for a wide variety of clients. His regular analysis and commentary on consumer credit, policy and the broader economy appear on the fir...
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Marisa Di Natale is a senior director at Moody's Analytics. Ms. Di Natale’s areas of specialization include international modeling and forecasting, U.S. regional economics, and labor economics. Ms. Di Natale previously oversaw the firm’s U.S. subnational forecasting ser...
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Adam Kamins is a director at Moody’s Analytics. He manages the firm’s U.S. subnational forecasting process and covers a wide variety of topics related to regional economics while frequently writing and presenting about both the New York and broader Northeast economies....
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Chris Lafakis is a director at Moody's Analytics. His expertise is in macroeconomics, energy economics, model development and model validation. Based in West Chester PA, he also covers the California economy and contributes to the Dismal Scientist web site. Mr. Lafakis...
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Ryan Sweet is director of real-time economics at Moody's Analytics. He is also editor-in-chief of Economy.com, to which he regularly contributes, and a member of the U.S. macroeconomics team in West Chester PA. His areas of specialization include U.S. monetary policy an...
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