COVID-19 Economic Forecast Scenarios

Baseline forecasts and alternative scenarios that examine how the future economy will perform under differing assumptions.

Latest Insight

View the Latest Analysis from Mark Zandi on the Global Economy

Follow Our Analysis With a Free Trial to Economic View

Real-time Analysis

View All

Markets Sense Businesses, Consumers Will Cope With COVID-19

Jul 06

Europe Daily Briefing: German Industry Slow to Grow in May

Jul 07

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: RBA Keeps Cash Rate Steady

Jul 07

Economic Roundup: V Is Still for Very Unlikely

Jul 06

In the News

View All

Why talking openly about how much you are paid for work is so important in this job market

Jul 02

Economy’s second-half comeback is now threatened by coronavirus resurgence

Jul 01

Stock market live today: Stocks rise, Pfizer’s vaccine shows promise, new quarter

Jul 01

Coronavirus live updates: Pfizer’s early-stage vaccine sees positive results; thousands attend Prague street party

Jul 01

Events

View All Events

The Impact of COVID-19 and the Key Drivers of Expected Losses in Auto and RV Loan Portfolios

Jul 09, 2020

Webconference

Moody's Analytics & Raymond James in Conversation

Jul 15, 2020

Webconference

Who Will be the Next President?

Jul 16, 2020

Webconference

Explore Our Products & Services

View All Products & Services

Scenario Studio

Collaborate in real time to create custom scenarios that stand up to the highest levels of scrutiny.

Auto Residual Forecasts

Purely quantitative forecasts of used car prices.

Consumer Credit Forecasts

Forecasts and analysis of Equifax credit bureau data.

Global Macroeconomic Research

Timely research examining global events and themes.

CECL Solutions

Reasonable and supportable forecasts, scenarios, models and advisory services.

Meet Our Experts

Mark Zandi

Chief Economist

Mark M. Zandi is chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, where he directs economic research. Moody’s Analytics, a subsidiary of Moody’s Corp., is a leading provider of economic research, data and analytical tools. Dr. Zandi is a cofounder of Economy.com, which Moody’s pur...
Read More

COVID-19 Economic Forecast Scenarios

Latest Insight

Real-time Analysis

View All

Markets Sense Businesses, Consumers Will Cope With COVID-19

Europe Daily Briefing: German Industry Slow to Grow in May

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: RBA Keeps Cash Rate Steady

Economic Roundup: V Is Still for Very Unlikely

In the News

View All

Why talking openly about how much you are paid for work is so important in this job market

Economy’s second-half comeback is now threatened by coronavirus resurgence

Stock market live today: Stocks rise, Pfizer’s vaccine shows promise, new quarter

Coronavirus live updates: Pfizer’s early-stage vaccine sees positive results; thousands attend Prague street party

Events

View All Events

The Impact of COVID-19 and the Key Drivers of Expected Losses in Auto and RV Loan Portfolios

Moody's Analytics & Raymond James in Conversation

Who Will be the Next President?

Explore Our Products & Services

View All Products & Services

Scenario Studio

Auto Residual Forecasts

Consumer Credit Forecasts

Global Macroeconomic Research

CECL Solutions

U.S. Précis® State and Metro Reports

Economy.com

U.S. Précis® Macro

Regional Financial Review

View All Economic Research

U.S. Macro and Regional Forecasts

U.S. National and Regional Historical Data

Global Macro Forecasts

U.S. Case-Shiller® Home Price Index Forecasts

View All Forecast & Historical Data

Standard Scenarios

CECL Scenarios

CCAR Scenarios

Custom Scenarios

View All Forecasts with Alternative Scenarios

Expected Consumer Credit Losses (ECCL)

CreditForecast.com

Moody’s CreditCycle™

CECL Solver for Moody’s CreditCycle™

View All Consumer Credit Analytics Solutions

Global Macro Economic Outlooks

Global Trade

Fiscal & Monetary Policy

Global Financial Markets

View All Speaking Engagement Topics

Moody’s CreditCycle™

Scenario Studio

Data Buffet

U.S. Regional Workstation

View All Economic Models & Workstations

Consumer Credit Risk Management

Custom Scenarios

Portfolio Stress-Testing

Market Risk Modeling

View All Economic Advisory Services

Meet Our Experts

Mark Zandi

Chief Economist

Mark M. Zandi is chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, where he directs economic research. Moody’s Analytics, a subsidiary of Moody’s Corp., is a leading provider of economic research, data and analytical tools. Dr. Zandi is a cofounder of Economy.com, which Moody’s pur...Read More

Protecting Workers and Businesses in the COVID Crisis

There is widespread support by the American people for another economic package that helps businesses and workers.

This Week in the COVID Crisis

The reintensification of infections across much of the country is a mounting threat to the nascent recovery.

This Week in the COVID Crisis

Overwhelming uncertainty regarding the virus is the principal reason the economy is unlikely to quickly kick back into high gear.

Steven Cochrane

Managing Director

Steven G. Cochrane, PhD, is Chief APAC Economist with Moody’s Analytics. He leads the Asia economic analysis and forecasting activities of the Moody’s Analytics research team, as well as the continual expansion of the company’s international, national and subnational fo...Read More

APAC's Uneven Path of Recovery

It may take the proven development of a COVID-19 vaccine to regenerate the vibrancy of the regional and global economies.

Asia at a Turning Point

The number of new COVID-19 cases is falling and phased reopenings are underway.

COVID-19 Impact and Recovery: Lessons So Far From Asia

Policies selected to combat the virus need to be timely, well executed, and coordinated with one another.

Mark M. Zandi is chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, where he directs economic research. Moody’s Analytics, a subsidiary of Moody’s Corp., is a leading provider of economic research, data and analytical tools. Dr. Zandi is a cofounder of Economy.com, which Moody’s pur...
Read More

Steven G. Cochrane, PhD, is Chief APAC Economist with Moody’s Analytics. He leads the Asia economic analysis and forecasting activities of the Moody’s Analytics research team, as well as the continual expansion of the company’s international, national and subnational fo...
Read More

Marisa Di Natale is a senior director at Moody's Analytics. Ms. Di Natale’s areas of specialization include international modeling and forecasting, U.S. regional economics, and labor economics. Ms. Di Natale previously oversaw the firm’s U.S. subnational forecasting ser...
Read More

Ryan Sweet is a senior director at Moody's Analytics. Ryan contributes regularly to Economic View and is a member of the U.S. macroeconomics team in West Chester PA. His areas of specialization include U.S. monetary policy and forecasting high-frequency economic indicat...
Read More

Chris Lafakis is a director at Moody's Analytics. His expertise is in macroeconomics, energy economics, model development and model validation. Based in West Chester PA, he also covers the California economy and contributes to Economic View. Mr. Lafakis has been quoted...
Read More

Cristian deRitis is a senior director at Moody’s Analytics, where he leads a team of economic analysts and develops econometric models for a wide variety of clients. His regular analysis and commentary on consumer credit, policy and the broader economy appear on the fir...
Read More

Adam Kamins is a director at Moody’s Analytics. He manages the firm’s U.S. subnational forecasting process and covers a wide variety of topics related to regional economics while frequently writing and presenting about both the New York and broader Northeast economies....
Read More