Economic Forecast Scenarios

Baseline forecasts and alternative scenarios that examine how the future economy will perform under differing assumptions.

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View the Latest Analysis from Mark Zandi on the Global Economy

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Happy Martin Luther King Jr. Day

Jan 17

Europe Daily Briefing: ECB Will Likely Stand Pat

Jan 18

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: China Ended 2020 with Some Gains

Jan 18

Economic Roundup: U.S. Consumer Spending Limps Into 2021

Jan 15

In the News

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Moody’s economist sizes up how Biden tax plan will impact Americans

Dec 31

When CECL Met Covid-19

Jan 13

Banxico, con poco espacio para bajar la tasa de interés: Moody's Analytics

Jan 13

Foreign investors shun corporate bonds in frenzy for Chinese debt

Jan 08

Events

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Europe Economic Outlook: 2021

Jan 28, 2021

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Small Medium & Enterprise Loan Risk Analytics

Feb 16, 2021

Webconference

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Scenario Studio

Collaborate in real time to create custom scenarios that stand up to the highest levels of scrutiny.

Auto Residual Forecasts

Purely quantitative forecasts of used car prices.

Consumer Credit Forecasts

Forecasts and analysis of Equifax credit bureau data.

Global Macroeconomic Research

Timely research examining global events and themes.

CECL Solutions

Reasonable and supportable forecasts, scenarios, models and advisory services.

Meet Our Experts

Mark Zandi

Chief Economist

Mark M. Zandi is chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, where he directs economic research. Moody’s Analytics, a subsidiary of Moody’s Corp., is a leading provider of economic research, data and analytical tools. Dr. Zandi is a cofounder of Economy.com, which Moody’s pur...
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Economic Forecast Scenarios

Latest Insight

Real-time Analysis

View All

Happy Martin Luther King Jr. Day

Europe Daily Briefing: ECB Will Likely Stand Pat

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: China Ended 2020 with Some Gains

Economic Roundup: U.S. Consumer Spending Limps Into 2021

In the News

View All

Moody’s economist sizes up how Biden tax plan will impact Americans

When CECL Met Covid-19

Banxico, con poco espacio para bajar la tasa de interés: Moody's Analytics

Foreign investors shun corporate bonds in frenzy for Chinese debt

Events

View All Events

Europe Economic Outlook: 2021

Small Medium & Enterprise Loan Risk Analytics

Explore Our Products & Services

View All Products & Services

Scenario Studio

Auto Residual Forecasts

Consumer Credit Forecasts

Global Macroeconomic Research

CECL Solutions

U.S. Précis® State and Metro Reports

Economy.com

U.S. Précis® Macro

Regional Financial Review

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U.S. Macro and Regional Forecasts

U.S. National and Regional Historical Data

Global Macro Forecasts

U.S. Case-Shiller® Home Price Index Forecasts

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Standard Scenarios

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Expected Consumer Credit Losses (ECCL)

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CECL Solver for Moody’s CreditCycle™

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Global Macro Economic Outlooks

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Fiscal & Monetary Policy

Global Financial Markets

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Moody’s CreditCycle™

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Data Buffet

U.S. Regional Workstation

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Consumer Credit Risk Management

Custom Scenarios

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Meet Our Experts

Mark Zandi

Chief Economist

Mark M. Zandi is chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, where he directs economic research. Moody’s Analytics, a subsidiary of Moody’s Corp., is a leading provider of economic research, data and analytical tools. Dr. Zandi is a cofounder of Economy.com, which Moody’s pur...Read More

This Week in the COVID Crisis

Biden appears set to significantly ramp up the federal response to the pandemic and provide substantially more fiscal support for the economy.

The Biden Fiscal Rescue Package: Light on the Horizon

With this additional economic support, real GDP growth would be robust at nearly 8% this year and almost 4% next.

This Week in the COVID-19 Crisis

Expected fiscal support will quickly boost the economy, pushing real GDP growth to more than 5% for all of 2021.

Steven Cochrane

Managing Director

Steven G. Cochrane, PhD, is Chief APAC Economist with Moody’s Analytics. He leads the Asia economic analysis and forecasting activities of the Moody’s Analytics research team, as well as the continual expansion of the company’s international, national and subnational fo...Read More

The APAC Economy: Looking Forward to 2021

Most countries in the region will regain all lost output by the end of next year.

RCEP Revives the Multilateral Approach to Managing Global Trade

Talks began with ASEAN members in 2013; the pact brings the economies of 15 nations closer together.

APAC Outlook: Next Year Looks Better for Most of the Region

APAC leads the global recovery, as it has contained the virus and joins the global trade rebound.

Marisa Di Natale

Mark M. Zandi is chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, where he directs economic research. Moody’s Analytics, a subsidiary of Moody’s Corp., is a leading provider of economic research, data and analytical tools. Dr. Zandi is a cofounder of Economy.com, which Moody’s pur...
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Steven G. Cochrane, PhD, is Chief APAC Economist with Moody’s Analytics. He leads the Asia economic analysis and forecasting activities of the Moody’s Analytics research team, as well as the continual expansion of the company’s international, national and subnational fo...
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Marisa Di Natale is a senior director at Moody's Analytics. Ms. Di Natale’s areas of specialization include international modeling and forecasting, U.S. regional economics, and labor economics. Ms. Di Natale previously oversaw the firm’s U.S. subnational forecasting ser...
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Ryan Sweet is a senior director at Moody's Analytics. Ryan contributes regularly to Economic View and is a member of the U.S. macroeconomics team in West Chester PA. His areas of specialization include U.S. monetary policy and forecasting high-frequency economic indicat...
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Chris Lafakis is a director at Moody's Analytics. He oversees the Moody’s Analytics climate risk initiative, and is responsible for climate modeling and scenario creation. He also has expertise in macroeconomics, energy economics, model development and model validation....
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Cristian deRitis is a senior director and deputy chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, where he leads a team of economic analysts and develops econometric models for a wide variety of clients. His regular analysis and commentary on consumer credit, policy and the broade...
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Adam Kamins is a director at Moody’s Analytics. He manages the firm’s U.S. subnational forecasting process and covers a wide variety of topics related to regional economics while frequently writing and presenting about both the New York and broader Northeast economies....
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